In the 30 plus years since scientists started using satellites to track the area of the Arctic ice cap, the size of the ice pack has gotten smaller and smaller. However, new data from NASA’s IceSAT satellite shows that the ice has been melting faster than anyone predicted.
It seems that measuring the area of the ice only tells part of the story. Unlike the other satellites that merely photograph the ice, IceSAT uses a laser to measure the height of the ice. IceSAT’s laser can detect changes in ice level as small as a half an inch. And since the height of the ice relates to the thickness of the ice, NASA researchers were able to measure the the density of the ice from 2004-2008.
What they found is not good. It seems that the thick, permanent ice that used to constitute the majority of Arctic ice has been replaced by thinner, seasonal ice that melts away during the summer months. So not only is the ice covering less area than ever before, but the ice that does form is thinner than ever before. In total, the scientists calculated that the ice pack shrank by 57 percent between 2004 and 2008, thinning by 2.2 feet.
The dramatic image above shows the difference in ice thickness between 2004 and 2008, and a progression of the ice thickness can be seen here. In just those four years, the ratio of permanent ice to seasonal ice completely flipped, with permanent ice forming 62 percent of the ice cap in 2004, but only 32 percent by 2008.
This evidence complicates the increase in polar ice seen in teh winter of 2008. Some have argued that the increase in the area of the ice pack in the winter of 2008 proves that global warming isn’t a straight forward, incontrovertible fact. However, this new data from IceSAT shows that while the area was indeed larger, the thickness was much lower. And due to that reduced thickness, even though the ice covered a larger area in 2008 than in 2007, the winter of 2008 may have actually seen the lowest aggregate volume of Arctic ice in recorded history.
This may be great news for shipping companies waiting for the Northwest Passage to finally open up, but for those of us who live in coastal cities, any news that ice is melting even faster than we thought is fairly dire.