Texas Instruments Blaze TI's reference design runs two touchscreen monitors at once. TI

If you have a smartphone, you're just as likely to Google from your handset as you are from a PC-based Web browser. That's because, in some cases, a high-end smartphone is just as powerful and rich a media experience as a computer. The pocketable, always-on, always-connected computer has long been the dream, and now, it's the reality. But the next generation of mobile phone brains promises to take the smartphone paradigm even further--maybe even so far that it replaces your desktop machine.

With Qualcomm's Snapdragon in every noteworthy Android handset that's come out over the last three months (think the Nexus One and the upcoming HTC Evo), a 1-GHz cellphone processor, though quite snappy as its name would suggest, feels like old hat. It's time for things to get stronger, faster--but not bigger.

The next generation of cellphones, on the strength of ultra-powerful silicon, could reach above and beyond their handset molds with the power to drive high-def monitors and stream and record high-def video. But, how can a cellphone be as powerful as a laptop (even more powerful than a netbook) and still avoid comparisons to a brick?

On the lower end of the smartphone spectrum, the answer is simple: put two chips into one. Jon Erensen, a research analyst specializing in mobile silicon, points to rising tide toward integration. Put the cell radio and the processor in one place; a plan that is all well and good for the realm of budget smartphones (the 99-dollar set). Marvell's budget-friendly solution, for example, stacks its 3G modem and processor on top of one another, but the processor only clocks around 800 MHz. The real oomph comes from keeping the two in their separate corners.

That's the structure behind the leader of the future-phone pack from Texas Instruments. The company has been showing off a cellphone platform (called OMAP4) souped-up enough to lap pretty much everything else on the market. The chipset, which could pop up in handsets by early 2011, can handle as many peripherals as a PC. The demo unit runs two separate simultaneous images on two touchscreens. But that's not all; TI claims they've rigged the silicon to run three cameras (two 2.5-megapixel ones for capturing stereoscopic 3-D and one 12-megapixel lens with the ability to grab high-def footage), and a pico projector. Even recording high-def 3-D is also entirely possible, since its image and graphics processor can encode images up to 20 megapixels.

A similar product is on the horizon from California-based chipmaker Marvell. Their new Armada processors can run 1080p video and up to four monitors at once.

To hold up their end of the bargain, Qualcomm is set to follow up Snapdragon with a 1.2-GHz chip (the A660, quippy codename to come...) armed and ready for Android 2.1 and Windows Phone 7. The chip will allow for full high-def 1080p video playback via HDMI when connected to an HDTV (Nvidia's Tegra, which lives inside Microsoft's Zune HD, tops out at 720p). Its dual cores also mean super-fast graphics and the ability to run rich, 3-D user interfaces--not to mention 3-D games.

If you thought you couldn't live without your cellphone before, just wait: Within the next two years, phones could be poised to take a gamble and replace your home computer. (Heck, they've already killed your landline.) Imagine if all you needed was a monitor, keyboard and mouse (or HDTV), and could plug your phone into a dock and be ready to go wherever you are--with your whole media library and personalized apps in tow. Sound crazy? 'Cause it's not.

22 Comments

Da excelent! O sa o vad pe soacra-mea 3D pe telefonul mobil. Minunat!

No, and it most likely never will.

The next step in technology is not just a beefed up cellphone. As it stands, Nvidia and ATI's chip foundries can hardly churn out decent chips on 40nm let alone anything smaller. People will always demand smaller and more powerful chips - Intel has be wildly successful because they focus on power first and size second. So this time frame of one to two years is not only outrageous but quite frankly preposterous. Netbooks haven't replaced the laptop and never will. There is a niche for better smart phones, but they are not what will replace the computer. I doubt that they ever truly will be replaced for that matter.

This may seem possible if HP uses it's memristor technology in cell phones.

I highly doubt it. At the rate I go through cell phones I would never replace a desktop for a smartphone. The only way I could see it happening when it comes to gaming is if and when augmented reality comes in full swing.

Yes, it will replace it for some people, but not for all.

Putting a cell phone into a dock attached to a monitor and wireless keyboard is probably what the majority of people only need for most tasks ... surfing the web, checking email, making phone calls, buying items, creating documents ... etc.

Outside of MMOs and casual games, the majority of gaming on PCs has dwindled, so there won't be much of a need for big rigs. There are exceptions, of course, but most gamers use consoles.

I can see businesses hand out company phones to people who will use them for their main computers as well. Maybe not in two years, but perhaps four or five. The Photoshop, Animation, and Video Editing markets will probably still use desktops since they require the latest processors.

One concern would be that the phone/computer could kill the battery faster when being plugged in constantly, but that could be resolved easily. Another concern is the fact that I am more likely to lose my cell phone or drop it in water than a desktop that sits in the same place. Backup information could be stored on a server or cloud, but I'd be out of a computer for however long it would take to replace it.

I can definitely see it starting with teens and college kids first in two or three years. When you're in a dorm room with limited space ... it makes sense.

One thing I want out of this is to only have to pay for the internet once. If I pay for internet for all my home appliances, I'd like to not have to pay for it again for a cell phone.

The mobile phone will kill the desktop computer. As stated, it has severely impacted the use of land lines.

If you look head on at the issue, you might disagree, but look around the corner and here is what you will see...

Your mobile phone WILL be your computer (desktop). At your desk will be a wireless screen, wireless mouse and keyboard. In fact, at every desk, every station (even the gas station), every library, every airplane seat, every coffee shop etc... you will have a screen and keyboard. Anyone with a mobile phone just walks up to it and starts typing away, or watching a movie, or reading an e-book, or interacting with a multitouch display.

No one will need to own a bulky desktop or laptop when there will be stations everywhere to do anything you want. Plus with the ability to support 3 or more screens, the days of the dedicated TV and Cable services are coming to an end as well.

That's what's around the corner.

Very interesting. The mobile phone will kill the desktop computer.

Well said, kormiko.

I can see it now.. "Remember when we all had those big clunky 'desktop' computers?"

@kormiko

PC gaming has not dwindled, just the income for games. Although it has actually increased in some respects thanks in part to your own examples. Big Rigs (enthusiasts) account for half of all sales in gaming computer purchases. They by that motion account for 35% of all gaming sales. In 2010 alone enthusiasts will have spent around 12.5 billion dollars on computer parts and peripherals. That is up from 9.5 billion last year! This trend is thought to continue because gamers are quickly realizing that they can get a much better bang for their buck by switching to computers. Additionally, they can just pirate their games. However, that will probably change in the next few years as either DRM defeats the pirates or the pirates defeat DRM and the devs drop the MSRP to a much lower denomination.

These new chips won't be the death of desktops. The graphene chips and memristors thaty have been being tested lately might be releasing soon enough and they will provide more processing power with less energy consumption. As far as daily use goes, desktops may be slightly hindered, but the desktop can never be destroyed because as things get faster, we create something that needs more speed. So desktops will be around for a long time, they may just get slightly smaller as well, and more of a desktop size rather than under the desk size like most computers really are.

30bcf4e2

We've already got projected infrared "keyboardless" keyboards. We've got the miniature projectors. One type of portable computer for the future, because I don't think laptops will go away, will be a small device - picture a little cube or something, that you set on the table. It projects the image onto the wall, and it projects a keyboard onto the table. It could also detect your hand motions to act as a virtual mouse. This is already possible, all of the technology already exists. I'm not saying this will replace anything, just like laptops didn't replace desktops, and PDAs didn't replace laptops or netbooks, but it will be an option.

I suppose laptops will become nothing more than key board, mouse and screens to be docked with a phone.

The phones will definitely take market share away from computers for a while perhaps before eliminating them accept for labs, businesses and schools, whoever'd need the best computing power. But the fact is, some functions just will not need indefinitely more an more computing power. For most users after all for the word processor for instance get everything they need in word 97 or abiword.

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.. NO lol, im with kormiko, Some people who just search the web or type up documents may use their phone, but gamers arent gonna find themselves replacing their desktops soon... or a long time from now either, its just not gonna happen, itll take like 5 years, no more, like a decade say, for the phone to catch up to the desktop today, but by that time we will be needing much more than a simple desktop to run basic games, and advanced video editing and such

too small (maybe projection might fix this issue)

no matter how small, we will always be able to fit more power into more space. We will have our desktop work horses AND our mobile conveniences.

There is no way that phones will replace desktops or laptops. There is no way I'm typing documents on those extremely small keyboards. I think that phones are not a replacement for anything but are useful for checking e-mail and simple we browsing on the go where you couldn't use a laptop. Otherwise who would chose to use a phone over a computer!??

When you can design and render a movie like Avatar.... I would say yes. However, by the time you got there and movies are always ahead of personal phone capabilities, you still couldn't touch those desktop computers. =P

Gaming aside, I believe the smart phones are to be the new laptops. There are too many good reasons why not to have to carry around anything larger than a iphone/android size device, for this not to happen. Peripherals can be added like fold up keyboards and drives for dvd viewing. But most people are already using their laptop and desktop less every day. Gamers will go to seperate platforms like xbox, and movies and music will be streamed wireless through wimax type hubs. What else is there really, video conferencing is being done now on portable devices. So why would anyone even want a desktop. I fix them as a secondary income source, and I see it happening already. The net book and ipad are really not necessary, as soon as someone figures out how to make a screen that just folds away like a bendable lcd, or a holographic projector, or even a better regular projector for a smartphone, it's game over for computing as we know it.

I produce music. Screen real estate is key. Love my N1, but I don't want it to perform on. I say hell yes to more powerful phones, but why does everybody have to be obsessed with something replacing something else? Landlines sucked. They got replaced. Laptops do not suck. They won't be replaced. There will always be a market for something that has ten times more computing power than the latest phone.

See the size of that keyboard? I like my desktop PC thank you very much!

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