The End Some would have us believe a planetary collision will end life on earth in 2012. NASA, and basic astronomy, tell us otherwise. NASA

As it turns out, the end is not near after all. While you can't keep a good doomsday rumor down, NASA Senior Scientist David Morrison is trying to dispel widely circulated rumors that cosmic events will lead to the end of life on Earth, if not outright destroy the planet, on Dec. 21, 2012.

Morrison, a planetary astronomer and keeper of NASA's "Ask an Astrobiologist" service, is publishing a rebuttal to many rampant apocalyptic rumors in the journal of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific, partially in response to an increasing number of letters and emails from a public worried that the end is nigh. Morrison specifically addresses the myth that a fictional planet called Nibiru will collide with Earth, but also addresses other persistent rumors that solar activity, alignments with the center of our galaxy and other astrological phenomena will wreak havoc on the blue planet and end life here.

2012: A viral marketing campaign for the fictional Hollywood film "2012" is feeding apocalypse hysteria on the Web.  Columbia Pictures
Nibiru, Morrison says, was conjured by Zecharia Sitchin, an author of fictional literature centering on the ancient Mesopotamian civilization of Sumer. Sitchin claimed in several books to have found and translated ancient texts that identify the planet Nibiru, which orbits the sun every 3,600 years and which will collide with Earth . . . in May 2003. This finding was corroborated by psychic Nancy Lieder who, channeling aliens inhabiting a non-existent planet near the star Zeta Reticuli, learned that Earth is in danger from the planet Nibiru.

When the May 2003 collision didn't occur, doomsday was rescheduled for December 2012, conveniently concurrent with the end of one of many increments of time known as Baktuns on the Mayan calendar. These 394-year periods have come and gone many times since the Mayans made their calendar, much like the months and years on the Gregorian calendar. But even practicing Maya don't believe the world will end on Dec. 21, 2012, when the 13th Baktun rolls over. As Morrison notes in his paper, "my desk calendar ends much sooner, on December 31 2009, but I do not interpret this as a prediction of Armageddon." Of course, Morrison also points out, the most compelling reason to believe Nibiru won't wipe out the earth in 2012 is that the planet doesn't exist. But try telling that to the man in the tinfoil hat.

Then there's the theory of magnetic polar reversal, in which the magnetic polarity of changes. This indeed is a real phenomenon, happening irregularly every 400,000 years on average. But as far as science can tell, this doesn't harm life on earth, nor does it reverse the rotation of the planet, nor is there any reason to believe a reversal is imminent in 2012, as many Web sites would have you believe.

Perhaps the most interesting thing about the doomsday rumors that Morrison points out in his rebuttal isn't that they exist, but who is ginning up the rumor mill. While the Web's many crackpots and conspiracy theorists are likely hard at work writing the next apocalyptic narrative, they're not the driving force behind the latest spate of hysteria. Much of the drama stems from a viral marketing campaign for Columbia Pictures' upcoming end-of-times thriller 2012, in which the Earth befalls cosmic calamities that shatter civilization as we know it.

The film's marketers created a Web site claiming to be the home of the fictitious "Institute for Human Continuity," which is dedicated to scientific research bolstering the claim that the world will end in 2012 and encourages visitors to search for "2012" on the Web, feeding the hysteria. The truth is some people simply can't separate fact from Hollywood fiction. While the world certainly could end in 2012 (or before that, or after that), the science simply says, "don't bet on it."

[PhysOrg, Associated Press]

38 Comments

Finally, another sane person around thats not a raving idiot. While I would like to have an excuse not to go to work in 2013, doomsday won't be it...

Things are weird enough without Hollywood making people run around like Chicken Little.

kamploopstrout

from Mission, B.C.

It's about damn time someone gathered evidence to disprove this. This 2012 conspiracy is just as bad as saying we didn't land on the moon. But who's to say that this article will be believed by people with paranoia.

This fact isn't nearly as frightening as it sounds! The Mayans kept extremely detailed astronomical records and they followed the cycles of the planets and stars as they travel around in their orbits. We are currently in the 4th cycle recorded by the Maya. It started in 3114B.C. and lasts for 5126 years until 2012. With the end of the 4th cycle comes... the beginning of the 5th cycle. The Maya believe that in the 5th cycle the ancient wisdom of the Maya will be rediscovered by the world and it will be a new dawn for mankind!

"In just 12 years we face another apocalyptic test: the Classic Maya millennium, on December 23, 2012 (based on our Western Gregorian calendar). That's when the Maya calendar will turn over to all zeros — 13.0.0.0.0 by the long count. (By the way, the Maya use of the zero by at least A.D. 200 is one of their key claims to fame, since the zero was not introduced to the West until the insights of Aryabhata, a fifth-century Indian mathematician, reached Europe.) The Maya millennium comes 5,126 years after the creation, which, by their reckoning, occurred precisely on August 11, 3114 B.C. But we probably shouldn't worry too much about this, since Pacal, the most famous ruler of Palenque, confidently predicted that his accession would be commemorated on October 15 in A.D. 4772 (Gregorian time).
We, like the Maya and probably everyone else, are always trying to predict critical turning points in the future so we will have time to prepare for them. Unfortunately, we're not very good at it. "(W.L. RATHJE, a Senior Editor of Scientific American Discovering Archaeology)

people should stop debunking every crazy theory -- if enough idiots live like there's no tomorrow, spending might increase enough to pull us out of economic hell.

I love the movies explanation that increased solar activity in 2012 will heat the planets core with neutrinos, despite the fact that neutrinos can pass through a lead brick the size of the solar system and not interact with anything

Deegeezee is right on the money. Americans need to go out and spend. Now if only we had money to spend.....lol...

Neutrinos pass through Earth and it's objects every day, and nothing happens. There are underground detectors that scientists have set up in hopes of detecting them, but after a couple of years in operation, they still haven't found anything. Obviously the science behind the movie is flawed, but there will no doubt be crazy uniformed people who think the world is ending.

I, like most people, would agree that a exact final date for the world's end is way too much, however...

The thought of doomsday is appealing to us because of the past recorded extinctions. The dinosaurs evidently didn't make a movie out of their demise but think of this.

There are tens of thousands of frozen world in our Ort Cloud so a large wondering mass traveling though our part of the milky way could give some of them a gravitational tug that could send them inwards towards the sun, we may actually see it coming before it is too late.

By the way over a month ago another something crashed into Jupiter, then some bright spots were noticed on Venus and just recently some moons of Saturn suddenly have some colors on them that weren't there before that may be traced to impacts. Is this a coincident or am I trying to hype the movie. We do know this, in one million years a wondering star will pass by us relatively close that may cause some problems. Our star does wonder above and below the galactic plane.

We may not have to worry about 2012 but we should start developing defenses against the unknown asteroid collision idea because they may not be much of a warning before one actually strikes. We are at a stage in the evolution of the humans species where we have the technology to do something about the next major impact, it would be a shame if we not prepared if a Dino killer is headed our way right now.

Billionaires should buy submarines to fight the sharks with lasers and improve our economy... When Atlantis surfaces again, the flying laser sharks will predate on everything and break the food chain. All hell will happen!... Please all pray for the return of Aquaman!... Glup glup amen!

I rather liked the idea of a doomsday asteroid. Something to schedule on your calendar: Let's see...Saturday the 22nd. Here it is! Sleep in, get flattened by a killer asteroid! Brilliant, I don't have to worry about that last minute Christmas shopping now...
Much easier than the slow painful death from things like the slowing in the ocean conveyor belt, disappearing honey bees, anphibian mass extinctions and all the other things that could be precursers to something really nasty happening to us.

b00n3s

from Tiffin, Ohio

Armageddon is about the final battle between "GOD" and "Satan". Now, wether or not that is the end of the world as we know it is a different discussion. The end of the world as we know it could be brought upon us by anything; a new invention, a natural disaster, or by our search for knowledge uncovering something we can't control. Either way, the end is of the old which begins something new.

the end of the world will probably involve nuclear bombs and israel will probably be the flash point.

I, the mighty Oakspar, declares that life will not end in 2012. Worship me now, and save yourself the embarassment of woshiping me later!

After all, I am right if:

1) The world doesn't end.
2) The world does end - because noone will be left to know or prove me wrong.

Also, you will not die today, for I have spoken.

PS - NASA, you owe me money for stealing my con.

Who said I was distraught?

what i want to know is are the planets going to line up in 2012 and if they are what effect could happen.....

wouldn't it be awesome if the asteroid did hit the earth and evrybodyies running around like ants and there are people standing on the moon going "hey, what the hell just happenned?" and btw oakspar, i am both Satan and GGod rolled into one. my name is the god of balance in the world, the mighty GGGGUUUUUUUTTTTTTTHHHHHIIIIIIIXXXXXXXXX!!!!!!!!

According to Issac Newton, the world will not end in 2012, it may change that's for sure. According him It could end 2060 If all of man is living by then It is the children in Junior High or Middle School will have to prepare for the world to end as we know it. ( I'll be 100 years old, if I'm alive. )I do know World WAR 3 is on the horizon. I 'm not certian if it's China, Russia, or North Korea Yet, I do know it could happen. Somewhere here in United States it could start, yet it will come down to the all the problems in THe Middle EAST. IRAQ IRAN Israel the Palenstine,and especially Afghanstan and Pakistan.

who says there's no good news anymore?

God could decide to destroy us tomorrow.

She's fickle that way, like all women...

it's about time somebody came along and used science and common sense to better prove the probability of the world not ending in 2012. Even if the world does end,and that's a big if all we can do is live our lives to the fullest and hope we did what we wanted to do in such a short period of time.

I'm not saying that the world is going to end in 2012. However I am also not saying that it will not. If the world ends, then there is quite literally NOTHING we can do to stop it. I have read this article and have not seen a single thing that may actually cause something cataclysmic mentioned. Such as the fact that our gravitational pull may actually be messed with by the planets being it such close range of one another. Not only this, but there is SOMETHING in space that I have heard people refer to as the "Dark Star". We cannot see it, but we know that it is there. and it will be passing dangerously close to our planet. I also know that every universe has it's own black hole. The dark star IS a black hole. A black hole has several thousand times more gravitational pull than your own planet. If we are in range to be caught in it, then we WILL be sucked in. However, there is still no proof that we are that close to it. If suddenly Pluto, Uranus, and Neptune go missing then I find it very hard to believe that we as a planet won't follow suit. I have NEVER even heard of this Nibiru planet that doesn't exist, so I would like the scientists to stop wasting time with useless information and come up with something truly convincing to make me say," OK, they're right. We aren't all going to die in 2012.", but as of yet; I have still not had that happen, so I have the outlook of if it happens, it happens,and if it don't, it don't. Either way I'm not going to run my life by it and neither should anyone else because even if something happens there will be nothing we can do to stop it or to survive for that matter. I hope it doesn't, but I'm a skeptic, so whatever happens, happens.

The world is near to end it is fact. But no one human being can predict the exact time, date and year it will occur.

Some, um, "interesting" comments here.

Line up on the right to get your own tin foil hat or black-helicopter uniform. . . .

First of all, I agree with the author that the end of the world is not likely to occur in 2012 - certainly not in Roland Emmerich fashion. You can take off the tin foil hats - those nasty neutrinos aren't going to hurt you.

While some conspiracy theorists may suggest that NASA and The Man are covering up the impending arrival of a near-orbiting planet, a dark star, killer asteroid, etc., etc., I choose to operate on the assumption that, unless some clear signs of impending natural cataclysm appear, the only thing we really need to be worrying about as a species is our own stupidity. As long as we avoid WWIII and don't squander our planet's resources, we should be just fine.

Besides which, if the world were to end in 2012 - or tomorrow, or whenever - just what would YOU do about it anyway?

Let me polarize the people out there with this statement. Either you believe in (an excepted translation of the Bible by the Christ centered (that He's God in the flesh) believers or you don't. If You do, then you already know how the earth will be destroyed. Check out these scriptures Matt.24:29, Mark 13:24, Luke 21:25,26,27 2Peter 3:4,5,6,7. Before any great man eliminating event the things described above will take place. I'm sure much trouble will fall on man before then but make no mistake the above will happen. Note that man is observing these events.

Thank you Now Lets See. Also, it says in the Bible that not even the angels know when the world will end. No one knows except God, so when it happens, it happens. People wouldn't be so fearful of death if they weren't athiests..

Personnally, I don't see how ordinary persons cannot perceive the logical and rational consequence of events. From people I know and ppl I've talked to, many dont consider actual astronomical facts vs. pure speculative fiction, i.e. the mayan calendar predicting doomsday, which in fact, I DOES NOT! It is simply the roll-over of the galactic year. Also, the mayan calendar is based on a thirteen month Lunar year, with a day out of time (equivillant to leap year) every 7 lunar years. Lunar measurments and Gregorian measurments DO NOT line up equally. Question: How does one associate planet X (nibiru) with the mayan calendar? I never did. However, being the speculative and cynical person I am, I cannot fully trust what any government tells me WTF is going on. How does the public know for a fact that Nibiru, Aliens, Wormholes etc. dont exist? A bit of wisdom for any who would listen; He who seeks to deny you information dreams him/herself your master. Nothing is finite. You cannot disprove what you cannot prove. Thankyou and be intelligent as you must plot your path for the jouney ahead.

Hey GolferGuy, it's only death. And even for the athiests, death is death and what do you have to fear of oblivion, you wont experience it.

OMG! Terrorists might be able to hijack nuclear material if Russia follows through with its plan to transport raw uranium from Iran to refine in the Motherland. Why not let the bastards refine their own! Iran isn't a "failed state" or a weak one for that mater. Besides, nobody threatend Israel for STEALING fissile material from france during the seventies. They ARE some of the REAL terrorists.

Hey Q42, word brotha! Im worried more about the stupidity of much of our own species that some essoteric and fantastic threat!

I made a bet with my cousin he said it would happen i said it wouldnt XP

I dont think the world will end but it may change, I did some research on it and found these things, not sure if any or all are true:
for the first time in recorded history all of are planets in our solar system will all line up, if true can that strengthen gravity having them all pull (or effect) each others at the same time also if true how often does this occur year wise? .....
The mayans were known as the one of the most accurate time keepers in history there calendar still working better (or was there snow on the ground when jesus was born), there calendar will tell us when comets will pass 20,000 years from now yet it ends on that date (dec 2012) but they dont claim the world will they say everyones life will change as we know it on that date. "people will ascend"
The inca's are said to also claim a time very similar.
Nostradamus also says the world ends around that date, not sure if thats true but if so that one will creep me out, after all he did draw pictures of helicopters before cars were invented and is well known for being right.
I have also heard the catholic religion is said to have so many popes before the end of the world (this being the last one)just wondering where that idea comes from?
ohh and 1 more person, Mr. e=mc2 himself, so I was just wondering if you guys can look into these claims 1 by 1, and tell me how many are true, which are false, and which there is no proof either way. (It would be nice to also get the web links for your answers for others to see)
If all the facts are here it will end this whole 2012 thing.

Is this a coincident or am I trying to hype the movie. We do know this, in one million years a wondering star will pass by us relatively close that may cause some problems. Our star does wonder above and below the galactic plane.
www.eprostateproblems.com/

The Maya believe that in the 5th cycle the ancient wisdom of the Maya will be rediscovered by the world and it will be a new dawn for mankind!
www.ankylosingspondylitiscenter.com

this is a government cover up about 2012
some took this info they died for it
please respect them the pentagon ordered to cut off their head with the white houses permission obama gave them
full control i might die with him for this they have 24 hr
before removed from site

Here are reasons why 2012 is a crock and if you believe in it your ability to breed should be removed:

1. The Mayan calender doesn't end on 2012. One of the Mayan's ages end, out of a total of three, and all that it means is that one cycle is over. It's a start of a new age.

2. Mayan don't even believe in the end of the world. It's a completely Western belief being pushed onto a non-Western society.

3. In regards to the whole Nostradamus thing: yea he got some things write, he also made a ton of predictions that where wrong. He wrote pretty much constantly, every day, for almost the entirety of his adult life. If you stab into the dark enough times, you're bound to hit something. Also most of his predictions where extremely vague, leaving the interpretations open.

4. To the Bible related comments: your religion isn't a valid argument. Anyways the Bible has been altered so many from the original it's ridiculous. Anyways all your beliefs and myths were stolen from religions FARRRRRRR older than yours.

5. To the "rouge planet" theorists: If anything big enough to kill life as we know it is coming at us, we would see it. When you're surrounded by nothingness, a giant killer rock is hard to miss.

6. About the planets lining up: It's happened before and nothing happened. At all. No sign of catastrophe, no mass extinction, nothing. The planets in our solar systems are far enough away that their gravitational pulls have pretty much no effect on each other.

7. Finally, to the solar storm crowd: We have solar flares all the time, and we are all still here. we are a ridiculous distance from the sun and yea, sometimes it can put out more energy than usual, but not enough to sterilize our planet.

Oh, and by the way:

rlb2 and eric11, it's spelled wander, not wonder. Wonder is thinking about something, which you obviously weren't when leaving your comments, or a feeling of amazement, which I am feeling as you managed to misspell a word that I've been able to since the first grade.

And finally, to cchsjchs12: Stop being so crazy, it's obviously not good for your health. Let the nice men in white coats take you back to your padded room and leave the thinking to people with a functional frontal lobe.

Love, Alex

@AlexRB Bravo, well said! /golfclap

@AlexRB nice post (for the most part), however:

1.) Your failed attempt to flame people for misspelling a word. If you are so sure of yourself, you should really check your own WRITING again to check and see if it's RIGHT.

2.) Having said that, hopefully you have yet to have the chance to breed as well.


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