If it's a particularly contagious virus, it would spread across the planet in a year. "If it starts in New York, it's going to be in London certainly within a week," says Ira Longini, a biostatistician at the University of Washington and the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center in Seattle who uses computer models to analyze how viruses globe-trot. "And from there, it will quickly travel to the rest of North America and Europe." For Longini's computer forecasts to become reality, though, certain conditions would need to be met.
First, it should be a strain of influenza. As anyone who has suffered through a bout of flu knows, it affects the respiratory tract, so sneezing and coughing make it easy to infect anyone within a three-foot radius. The virus must originate in a major city with plenty of airport traffic, to ensure that it jumps continents. Arising during the winter would speed its spread too, because the "normal" colds or flus people typically catch at that time of year could throw health officials off the trail of the real megabug, says Andrew Pekosz, a virologist and immunologist at Johns Hopkins University. The idea seems to freak him out. "With everybody expressing similar symptoms, we'd end up chasing, chasing, chasing, but always being a few steps behind, never really able to interrupt the spread."
This article makes me think that the end of the world could come quickly and there would be barely any survivors
I was just thinking that I could use some more fear in my life.
Why dont they just give them a virus to spread while they are at it?? If someone wanted to spread a virus worldwide, they now know the best place and time to do so. Seems to be...
We live in a sea of virus and are infected constantly. It's just the way it is. Only one in ten medical research proposals is funded. The one that gets funded is under funded. I grew up believing that there were thousands, hundreds of thousands, of researchers working on each disease, but now I know that isn't the case. There is one scientist working on a disease here and two there on another disease, and four eleswhere, and so on and so on. We are juvenile in our priorities.
Bacteria make better weapons and the best/worse case 50% death rate. Read "The Third Pandemic" by Pierre Ouellette: Pocket Star Books. The death rate is much higher in this story.
Why is this considered as something that was unknown?
With all the movies that have been made in the past 50 years, this should be common knowledge to the average person. As for stopping the spread, it would depend on how draconic the response to halt it was.
Our biggest problem would be something easyly transferable but with a long incubation period. it would be spread before we knew about it.
Your thinking is in line with the bible. You are not far from the kingdom of God.
It's ok. Madagascar will close it's ports.
(I can't believe it hasn't been said yet!)
Shut down EVERYTHING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
@id3nt1ty, A Pandemic II reference? XD if so nice!
a perfect example of this was the H1N1 pandemic...it wasn't a catastrophe only because it was not deadly enough...stay tuned, it is still around and mutating