• The Environment

    Human Cause, Global Effect

    By Posted on 5.14.2008 29 Comments

    Retreating glaciers. Melting permafrost. Off-kilter bird migrations. Few of these reports are news to anyone following the global warming beat. Yet the first effort to gather thousands of scientific findings into a cohesive narrative of cause and effect has been published in the journal Nature.

    5.18.2008 at 01:30pm - Comment by Logic Over Emotion

    taitus, >I'm so tired of you fools with your conspiracy theory crap "global warming isn't real its just a way for scientists to get more funding. . ." Somehow, I don't think that calling people "fools" is a good way to change their minds. Just a hunch. >How can any of you actually deny that human activities have a profound effect on the ecology of the Earth? Have any of you ever seen the massive smog clouds hanging over any major city? Is it so hard for you to believe that the billions of tons of pollution produced per year that you can't see could be having an effect? Do you think that billions of people burning trillions of tons of petroleum fuels in the last hundred years is going to have no consequence? You are confusing pollution (which I think hardly anyone denies) with global warming (which is very valid to debate). Dumping arsenic into rivers (a form of pollution) does not cause global warming. >This seems to be the basic argument you nay sayers keep using: >Global warming cannot be absolutely proven given our current knowledge, so we should just ignore the evidence we do have------that way we can go on happily polluting the Earth without having to feel any guilt about it. It is funny that you bring up the subject of "guilt". Isn't that an emotion? Read my screen name. >and another thing, what makes you high and mighties think that you really know what the heck is going on? If you're not willing to listen to the people that are actually experts (the ones that spent 10 years of their lives doing a masters, Ph.D and then a post-doc to get were they are) than who the heck will you listen to? Do you think that you know the real scoop because you read a few science magazines and follow the headlines on CNN? Again, insults are not the most effective argument. In any case, I am willing to listen to those in the field but that doesn't mean that I must believe them blindly. Remember, even bonafide climatologists do not agree on the "global warming" theory. If there is significant internal debate amongst the experts, is it not arrogant for non-experts to take one side? >I bet all the MDs and physiologists out there that are telling you to get off your fat butt in order to avoid a heartattack are just trying to get more government funding as well. . . ...and doctors used to believe that it was helpful to bleed the sick in order to help them recover. They only changed because, get this, people started to question their beliefs and demand proof. It is not "unscientific" to question theory and demand proof before accepting it as fact.

  • The Environment

    Human Cause, Global Effect

    By Posted on 5.14.2008 29 Comments

    Retreating glaciers. Melting permafrost. Off-kilter bird migrations. Few of these reports are news to anyone following the global warming beat. Yet the first effort to gather thousands of scientific findings into a cohesive narrative of cause and effect has been published in the journal Nature.

    5.16.2008 at 11:43pm - Comment by Logic Over Emotion

    Michael S said: "The duration that CO2 remains in the atmosphere is 100 years on the low end. http://www.newton.dep.anl.gov/askasci/wea00/wea00296.htm" ...and 100 years is but a blink of the eye in the terms of geological time, so you are really validating my arguement. Plants will consume the carbon dioxide quickly. "So, global temperatures rise over a very short period of time with no identifiable natural cause while concurrently an atmospheric greenhouse gas reaches its highest level in 400,000 years, and your foundation for inaction is a reliance on coincidence." I agree with GenXer on this one: "The occurance of two events at the same time does not prove causality." Equilibrium is a balance of forcings versus reactions, a balancing of the scales. This balance can be found with 5 oz on each side (for instance a very cold condition) or 5 tons (for instance a very warm condition). Historically, shifts in the balance occur over hundreds and thousands of years, not decades. Simply not true. We have ample evidence for very large and very quick changes in temperature, one of which I gave (the frozen mammoth with grass in its mouth). None of this had anything to do with human activity. "Hopefully, you realize that Mars is a completely different planet with vastly different atmospheric composition, surface conditions, orbital patterns, and so on. In other words, Mars could be warming at the same time as Earth, cooling at the same time, or going in completely opposite directions, all with equal validity. Even the article you link does not attribute Martian warming to solar variance." So what you are saying is that without ample proof of what is causing the temperature to rise on Mars we cannot conclude what is causing it... Think about that.

  • The Environment

    Human Cause, Global Effect

    By Posted on 5.14.2008 29 Comments

    Retreating glaciers. Melting permafrost. Off-kilter bird migrations. Few of these reports are news to anyone following the global warming beat. Yet the first effort to gather thousands of scientific findings into a cohesive narrative of cause and effect has been published in the journal Nature.

    5.16.2008 at 11:33pm - Comment by Logic Over Emotion

    Gonazar said: Can we really afford the time to argue? do we really want risk the human race because we don't want to believe it's true?... Making decisions without debating the facts is unwise. It would be like piloting an airplane with no idea of how everything works. "Let's pull back on the stick to go up" could easily result in a stall, causing the plane to crash. Scientists are supposed to figure out what is actually going on, and make decisions based on facts, not fads. Logic over emotion.

  • The Environment

    Human Cause, Global Effect

    By Posted on 5.14.2008 29 Comments

    Retreating glaciers. Melting permafrost. Off-kilter bird migrations. Few of these reports are news to anyone following the global warming beat. Yet the first effort to gather thousands of scientific findings into a cohesive narrative of cause and effect has been published in the journal Nature.

    5.15.2008 at 07:39pm - Comment by Logic Over Emotion

    >It is not arrogance to conclude that climate change could be caused by human actions, quite the opposite. The hubris is found in the belief that the actions of mankind are without consequence. Response: It is hubris to assume that we have power over such awesome scale while we lack any credible data. As for logic over emotion, does it make more sense to believe that a greenhouse gas that is emitted by the industrial activities of mankind in ever increasing amounts year after year and that can remain in the atmosphere for hundreds of years could influence global temperature or that there exists a conspiracy of thousands of scientists around the world who forge peer-reviewed scientific studies and data in the ideological pursuit of global government and funding protection? Response: First - carbon dioxide is consumed by plants, so it will not "remain in the atmosphere" for long. Second - while I don't doubt that there is no conspiracy by scientists, where they all get in a room and agree to lie, I do think that their opinions can be colored by the fact that they are receiving more research funds due to the hype. The Earth has not cooled over the last decade. Plot temperature data from any of the major sources from 1999 to the present and a continued warming trend is revealed. It is not coincidental that NASA GISS noted 2007 as the second warmest year on record, and this during a solar minimum and without the El Nino conditions that pushed 1998 to record levels. Response: So? None of this means that humans are to blame. Solar activity has not increased over the last 30 years and cannot account for warming during that time. Increased temperatures and CO2 levels have thrown the biosystem out of equilibrium, and it is no surprise that the biosystem is responding. Response: Out of equilibrium of what? There was more carbon dioxide in the atmposhere before, as well as less. Temperatures go up (time of dinosaurs) and temperatures go down (Ice Age). Who is to say what is "equilibrium"? Now tell me this: how are we causing the temperature rise on Mars? http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article1720024.ece Hint: perhaps we have nothing to do with any of this, and the sun is indeed putting out a little more energy...

  • The Environment

    Human Cause, Global Effect

    By Posted on 5.14.2008 29 Comments

    Retreating glaciers. Melting permafrost. Off-kilter bird migrations. Few of these reports are news to anyone following the global warming beat. Yet the first effort to gather thousands of scientific findings into a cohesive narrative of cause and effect has been published in the journal Nature.

    5.15.2008 at 01:58am - Comment by Logic Over Emotion

    I like Pop Sci but I am saddened to see it follow a politcal fad. The fact of the matter is that there is really no hard science, one way or the other, that there is global warming, man made, natural or otherwise. Simple logic shows that the earth does have natural cycles: the Ice Ages occurred naturally. The earth was warmer during the time of the dinosaurs. Humans didn't change it in both cases, but the earth changed nevertheless. Mammoths have even been found frozen in ice with grass in their mouths! This indicates that the Ice Age occured very, very quickly when it happened. Based on these facts alone it is arrogant to conclude that any climate change is due to humans, and it is also bad science.



Download Our iPhone App

Stay up to date on the latest news of the future of science and technology from your iPhone with full articles, images and offline viewing



Follow Us On Twitter

Featuring every article from the magazine and website, plus links from around the Web. Also see our PopSci DIY feed



Become a Fan On Facebook

Share links with friends, comment on stories and more


December 2009: Best of What's New

In our December issue, Popular Science names the 100 best innovations of the year: bombproof wallpaper, self-parking cars, the fastest helicopter, and 97 more. Plus inventor profiles and videos.

Check out the best of what's new here.

Popular Science Photo Pool


Share your photos in the Pop Sci pool at www.flickr.com!
tags_sprite.png
POP_embeddedForm_cover_May09.jpg