risk modelling

Endangered Animals 100 Times Worse Off than Previously Believed

Scientists create a new system for modeling risk and discover that some species may be far more endangered than ever imagined

In Even Deeper Water?:  Joel Garlich-Miller, USFWS
Adding insult to injury, many species that are already solidly facing extinction might actually be 100 times more endangered than previously thought, scientists say. A new mathematical model, developed by ecologists at the University of Colorado at Boulder and the University of California, produces extinction risks that are orders of magnitude higher than conservation biologists estimated in compilations like the IUCN red-list.

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